Thursday, September 24, 2020

Round 18 recap, & Round 19 tips

Round 18 was a pretty good round for the bots (and many other people)

ZaphBot managed 8/9, missing only on it's Collingwood tip.
ZaphBot-New picked all 9, since it only differed on that one match.  I'm not reading too much into that result at this point.

ZaphBot Round 18 Results
✔ Richmond by 39, 80% chance ✔ Brisbane by 27, 75% chance ❌ Collingwood by 1, 52% chance ✔ Melbourne by 7, 56% chance ✔ Western Bulldogs by 1, 51% chance ✔ Hawthorn by 19, 65% chance ✔ West Coast by 38, 80% chance ✔ StKilda by 22, 75% chance ✔ Geelong by 34, 80% chance


ZaphBot-New Round 18 Results

✔ Richmond by 49, 90% chance
✔ Brisbane by 28, 77% chance
✔ Port Adelaide by 2, 53% chance
✔ Melbourne by 7, 57% chance
✔ Western Bulldogs by 8, 57% chance
✔ Hawthorn by 11, 61% chance
✔ West Coast by 33 82% chance
✔ StKilda by 14, 64% chance
✔ Geelong by 26, 75% chance
Standings after Round 18
                     Tips  Bits  MAE   Correct | Round by Round
ZaphBot-New   109  23.06  23.0   71.2%  | 654668366677875559 ZaphBot              105  18.02  24.1   68.6%  | 844458457666864668 Autobot-PureELO      100   9.75  45.3   65.4%  | 762466548754864477 Autobot-HomeTeam      87   1.68  26.0   56.9%  | 664659134467645623

Here are the tips for Round 19.  Only one game that is anything more than a coin-toss according to the bots - although they disagree on which match that is!
The two bots again differ by one tip, and again it is the one that ZaphBot has the least confidence in.
ZaphBot:
Port Adelaide by 16, 65% chance
Richmond by 4, 54% chance
Western Bulldogs by 1, 51% chance
West Coast Eagles by 1, 52% chance
ZaphBot-New:
Port Adelaide by 4, 55% chance
Richmond by 4, 54% chance
StKilda by 3, 53% chance
West Coast Eagles by 13, 63% chance

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