Saturday, September 5, 2020

Round 16 2020 Tips

 Here are ZaphBot's tips for Round 16.  Note that I have not adjusted margin predictions this season, despite the games being shorter.

ZaphBot Tips - Round 16, Season 2020

Port Adelaide d North by 25, 75% chance
StKilda d Hawthorn by= 23, 75% chance
Geelong d Essendon by 40, 80% chance
Western Bulldogs by 1, 52% chance
Melbourne d Fremantle by 23, 75% chance
GWS d Adeaide by 18, 65% chance
Carlton d Sydney by 8, 62% chance
Brisbane Lions d Gold Coast Suns by 31, 80% chance

For comparison, here are the tips for one of the new algorithms I've been working on - which currently has significant issues.  I'll explain this algorithm in more detail later in the year.
It is important to note that this algorithm is completely independent of Zaphbot, despite several tips being almost identical.

New Bot Tips - Round 16, Season 2020

Port Adelaide by 26, 75% 
StKilda by 17, 67% 
Geelong by 39, 87% ** I would probably cap this at 80%
West Coast Eagles by 9, 59%  ** This is the one differing tip between the two models
Melbourne by 17, 67% 
GWS by 18, 68% 
Carlton by 9, 60% 
Brisbane Lions by 35, 84%  ** another one I'd cap at 80%

We'll see where those end up at the end of the round!




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